The locked Main Marmara Fault segment of the North Anatolian Fault runs directly beneath the Sea of Marmara, just 15 km south of central Istanbul. Following the 1999 Izmit M7.6 rupture, seismologists estimate a high probability of an M7+ earthquake in the coming decades.
72-hour composite hazard forecast
Recorded in the selected 14d period
Largest earthquake in the selected 14d period
Seismotectonic hazard assessment, structural exposure & historical context
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Living within seismically active radius (~300 km)
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Mixed construction stock with regional engineering standards
Convergent Margin
Major plate boundary with high strain accumulation
No significant earthquakes recorded in the selected 14d period.
Every recorded earthquake in this area — filter by time range and sort by time or severity.