About EarthquakeLive.org

Geospatial AI for Global Seismic Hazard Intelligence

EarthquakeLive.org is an open geospatial platform monitoring global seismic belts, predicting short-term seismic hazards (12h, 24h, 72h, 7d) on an Uber H3 hexagonal grid, and delivering zero-friction multi-channel alerts.

Why was EarthquakeLive.org created?

Earthquakes remain among the most devastating and abrupt natural hazards. Over 2.7 billion people reside in active seismic belts โ€” from the Pacific Ring of Fire and Anatolian faults in Turkey to Central Asia, Japan, Chile, and the Cascadia Subduction Zone.

Existing public channels oscillate between two extremes: either panic-inducing unscientific rumors on social networks, or highly technical retrospective bulletins published after the damage has already occurred.

EarthquakeLive.org bridges this divide by synthesizing physical crustal strain markers, ephemeris data, and real-time seismic streams into a transparent, calibrated hazard intelligence dashboard.

1โ€“2 min (Live)

18 Live Seismological Networks

Parallel polling of 18 global and regional seismological networks with fault-isolated Circuit Breakers

4 Horizons

Forecasting Time Windows

Operational windows of 12 hours, 24 hours, 72 hours, and 7 days

100% TreeSHAP

Geophysical & Ephemeris Vector

Fault stress indicators, Benioff strain, tidal forces, and geomagnetic proxies

PAGER & MMI

Humanitarian Impact

H3 Res 4 population density, GMPE attenuation, and casualty estimation

100% Audit

Verification Ledger

Rolling ground truth validation and PSI feature drift monitoring

12 Languages

Multilingual Interface

English, Russian, Turkish, Japanese, Spanish, Indonesian, Chinese, Italian, Greek, Hindi, French, Portuguese

Four-Tier Architecture: Citizens, Media, Scientists & Ambient Displays

The platform seamlessly scales from civilian safety checks to breaking newsroom feeds, deep geophysical modeling, and 24/7 Smart TV studio displays.

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Level 1

For Residents, Travelers & Businesses

  • Instant Regional Safety Status: Clear color-coded badges (Low Hazard, Moderate, High Risk, Critical).
  • Smart City Search: Search any global city with immediate tectonic fault proximity.
  • Recent Felt Tremors: Chronological feed with focal depth, magnitude, and time.
  • Zero-Friction Alerts: 1-click Web Push and Telegram bot without registration.
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Level 2

For News Agencies, TV Studios & Digital Media

  • Instant Newsroom Wire Bulletins: Pre-formatted, fact-checked breaking news wire blurbs with magnitude, depth, and exposed population.
  • Broadcast & Studio Clean-Feed: Fullscreen 4K/1080p zero-clutter telemetry display for TV video walls, OBS, and news graphics.
  • Embeddable Interactive Maps: Responsive zero-dependency iframe widgets for online news articles and liveblogs.
  • Free Editorial Licensing: Vector logos and live telemetry freely licensed for broadcast and digital media with attribution.
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Level 3

For Seismologists, Geophysicists & First Responders

  • Crustal Stress Metrics: Gutenberg-Richter b-value slope, Benioff elastic strain, and solid earth tides.
  • TreeSHAP Factor Waterfall: Click any H3 cell to unpack the exact percentage attribution of all features.
  • Prediction Ledger & Verification: Real-time ledger tracking TP, FP, FN, Reliability diagrams, and Brier score.
  • Institutional Integration & Alerts: High-throughput alert dispatch, institutional feeds, and situational webhooks.
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Level 4

For Smart TVs, Kiosks & Operations Rooms

  • 10-Foot UI & Remote Control: High-contrast telemetry optimized for 4K/8K TVs with physical D-Pad remote navigation.
  • Autopilot Tour Mode: Autonomous cinematic camera navigation across high-risk global clusters and major quakes.
  • Hardware Optimization: Clamped DPR 1.0, memory protection, and Native MapLibre vector fallback for TV chipsets.
  • Breaking Event Override: Instant priority takeover and visual siren for major seismic events (M โ‰ฅ 5.5).

Scientific Disclaimer & Ethical Principles

Modern geophysics establishes that deterministic prediction of the exact minute and location of an earthquake is currently impossible due to chaotic fault dynamics and self-organized criticality.

EarthquakeLive.org does not claim deterministic prediction. Instead, it computes calibrated hazard probabilities P(Mโ‰ฅ4.5) based on physical crustal stress proxies to empower preparedness, proactive alerts, and disaster risk reduction.

Open Science, Data Provenance & Verification Ethics

Strict scientific reproducibility adhering to international seismological standards

Authoritative Public Catalogs

100% of raw seismological waveform solutions and earthquake event records are ingested in real-time from open public institutions: USGS, EMSC FDSNWS, ISC, BMKG, GeoNet NZ, INGV, and GA. Raw data is never modified or fabricated.

Out-of-Time Walk-Forward Audit

All machine learning forecast models are evaluated on frozen, out-of-time test folds (CSEP standard). The full verification ledger with Brier Skill Score (+0.354) and ROC-AUC (0.814) is publicly auditable via the open metrics API.

Probabilistic Integrity

We reject unscientific deterministic prediction claims. Fault nucleation obeys non-linear continuum mechanics. EarthquakeLive models strictly calibrated conditional probabilities P(M โ‰ฅ 4.5) to empower emergency preparedness.

Data & Content Terms: Mandatory attribution with direct link to EarthquakeLive.org required
Inspect Live Verification Ledger

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Verified scientific, operational, and emergency protocols

EarthquakeLive.org is dedicated to democratizing planetary seismic hazard intelligence through transparent geophysics and explainable machine learning. We bridge the gap between post-disaster government bulletins and unscientific social media rumors by providing real-time multi-network situational awareness.